Hope For The American Dollar
The lack of faith in the G7 might be disturbing. After an overnight sell-off, the American Dollar traded higher on April15, 2008 when traders decided that the G7’s promise to follow through and intervene in an effort to bolster the economy was going to fall through. The G7 had been meeting in Washington, DC and the traders actions had actually been considered by the nations meeting in the nation’s capital. The traders are ready to see trading pick back up and with the American economy in such dire straits, it may take a long time to happen.
At 0015 GMT, the dollar had come up from 101.08 yean to 101.16 yen, an eight point difference. Against the Euro the dollar went from $1.5816 to $1.5825. While the margin of increase is very small, it’s still an increase and a small ray of sunshine in the Forex trading world.
Unfortunately this small increase will be short lived without some form of financial intervention. This was one of the reasons behind the G7 meeting in Washington, DC.
With the market showing some sign of minor relief from the increase in the dollar, the traders are moving without fearing G7 intervention. Analysts feel that the G7 will not step in and stop the insane numbers unless the American dollar continues to rise and accelerate into a rout. If that happens, the G7 will step up to the plate and try to forestall any more damage to the world’s currency and economic system. The yen seems to be the only currency that is safe trading haven.
Even though the dollar saw a marginal increase, the announcement by Wachovia that they suffered unexpected losses because of the mortgage situation did not instill anyone with a lot of hope that the dollar would continue moving in a positive direction. Wachovia is the fourth largest bank in the world. What is interesting to note is that retial sales for the month of March was better than expected or anticipated, especially since most people do not have a lot of disposable cash available.
Analysts feel that unless the G7 can show that they can and will back up any intervention plans, the economic market will not necessarily see their words as having any value to them. Economic movement could actually be considered excessive and that is why the market is so uncertain. They feel that the G7 will need to ready to move into intervention measues if this movement worsen’s the credit crunch in the United States. Of course on the flip side of this issue is that no damage to the credit crunch by leaving things alone is also a good thing, but it will still need to be investigated and a back up plan put into place.









